Using Meteorology Probability Forecasts in Operational Hydrology
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Author(s): T. E. Croley II
Publisher: ASCE
ISBN: 0784404593
Format: softback
206pp
Price: $54.00
Review Date: 31 May 2000
Review: This is a practical guide for using short-term, seasonal and interannual forecasts for making meteorological forecasts. It shows how to predict weather-dependent phenomena to assess the risks associated with decisions in the constructional and operational phases of water resource planning. The examples include a number of hydrological models and use both user-defined and agency-produced meteorology probability forecasts in the USA and Canada. They illustrate El Nino and La Nina conditional probabilities and give examples of their derivation. The Appendix describes how to obtain and use free software to prepare historical files for specific applications, to input forecast meteorology probabilities of a specific site, to extract reference quantile estimates, to prioritize forecasts, and to solve the resulting set of equations for derivative forecasts.